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KalshiCloses November 3, 2026

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

The market puts it at 1.9% — a very long shot — on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC
  • Chance of yes 1.9% −1
Traded today$696
Traded in all$278K
Yes, 7 days−0.8 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 52%

Sep 28: 2.7% · Sep 29: 3% · Sep 30: 2.7% · Oct 1: 2% · Oct 2: 2.2% · Oct 3: 2% · Oct 4: 2.2% · Oct 5: 2.1%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If Nancy Pelosi resigns their office, or announces they will resign their office, before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources: Nancy Pelosi

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

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