The odds
as of Oct 21, 19:20 UTC- United States 44% +42
- Turkey 18% —
- United Arab Emirates 9.5% —
- Ukraine 4.5% —
- Hungary 3.5% —
- China 3% —
- Switzerland 2% —
- Germany 1% —
Traded today$722
Traded in all$36K
Favourite, 7 days+40 pts
United States, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 14: 5% · Oct 15: 4.5% · Oct 16: 4.5% · Oct 17: 4.5% · Oct 18: 4% · Oct 19: 4% · Oct 20: 4.5% · Oct 21: 11%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 21, 19:20 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, United States; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the next Putin and Zelenskyy meeting happens in United States before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: the New York Times; Bloomberg; Reuters; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; NBC; MSNBC; CNN; Semafor; The Information; ESPN; Fox News; Axios; Politico
See it on Kalshi ↗