The odds
as of Nov 4, 07:18 UTC- Before Jul 1, 2027 28% +1
- Before Jan 1, 2027 19% +3
- Before Dec 1, 2026 8% —
- Before Sep 1, 2026 1% —
- Before Nov 1, 2026 0% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$146K
Favourite, 7 days+2.5 pts
Before Jul 1, 2027, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 26% · Oct 29: 27% · Oct 30: 25% · Oct 31: 25% · Nov 1: 25% · Nov 2: 28% · Nov 3: 27% · Nov 4: 28%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jul 1, 2027; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Jeanine Pirro leaves as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Settlement sources: Jeanine Pirro; The Wall Street Journal; Bloomberg News; The Washington Post; the Associated Press; Fox News; Reuters; U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Columbia; CNN; the New York Times; Politico
See it on Kalshi ↗