The odds
as of Oct 5, 20:27 UTC- Julianne Moore 94% +3
- Inde Navarrette 74% —
- Sandra Hüller 69% +6
- Olivia Wilde 57% +9
- Ruth Madeley 45% —
- Virginie Efira 39% +1
- Renate Reinsve 38% −3
- Mikey Madison 18% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$290K
Favourite, 7 days−0.5 pts
Julianne Moore, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 95% · Sep 29: 91% · Sep 30: 92% · Oct 1: 93% · Oct 2: 93% · Oct 3: 92% · Oct 4: 92% · Oct 5: 94%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Julianne Moore; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Julianne Moore has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
See it on Kalshi ↗