The odds
as of Nov 1, 22:14 UTC- Josh Allen: 1+ 99% +38
- James Cook III: 1+ 99% +39
- Derrick Henry: 1+ 99% +33
- Dalton Kincaid: 1+ 99% —
- DJ Moore: 1+ 99% —
- Justice Hill: 1+ 15% —
- Joshua Palmer: 1+ 13% —
- Zay Flowers: 2+ 12% +3
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$146K
Traded in all$147K
Favourite, 7 days+49 pts
Josh Allen: 1+, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 27: 62% · Oct 28: 57% · Oct 29: 55% · Oct 30: 59% · Oct 31: 60% · Nov 1: 99%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Josh Allen: 1+; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Josh Allen records 1+ touchdowns in the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first half of the game but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including any overtime period, this Contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff of the game unless the player records the required number of touchdowns, in which case this Contract settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in at least one play after the conclusion of the first half, this Contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Injury, an injury designation, or being ruled out is not required for protection. Participation in a play nullified by penalty counts. Lining up for a play stopped by a penalty before the snap, without participating in a subsequent play, does not count. A player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. This event uses at least full game touchdowns including overtime. Passing touchdowns do not count as touchdowns scored by the passer. Team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns; the player participation exception does not apply to them. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: ESPN; the Governing League
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