The odds
as of Nov 1, 21:14 UTC- Josh Berry 79% +46
- Christopher Bell 79% +39
- William Byron 66% +21
- Chase Elliott 62% +24
- Joey Logano 60% +15
- Denny Hamlin 42% −11
- Chase Briscoe 34% −2
- Ross Chastain 24% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$24K
Traded in all$32K
Favourite, 7 days+62 pts
Josh Berry, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 26: 18% · Oct 27: 19% · Oct 28: 21% · Oct 29: 23% · Oct 31: 19% · Nov 1: 1%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Josh Berry; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Josh Berry finishes in the top 5 in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity 500 , then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Josh Berry retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: the Governing League
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