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KalshiCloses January 1, 2033

Who will be the world's second trillionaire?

Mark Zuckerberg leads at 22% (about 2 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 23:22 UTC. It's up 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 23:22 UTC
  • Mark Zuckerberg 22% +1
  • Jeff Bezos 16% +9
  • Jensen Huang 13% —
  • Larry Page 11% −3
  • Sergey Brin 4.5% —
  • Larry Ellison 4% —
  • Bernard Arnault & family 4% —
  • Warren Buffett 3.5% —
Traded today$894
Traded in all$41K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts

Mark Zuckerberg, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 28Oct 522%

Sep 28: 19% · Sep 29: 21% · Sep 30: 20% · Oct 1: 24% · Oct 2: 21% · Oct 3: 21% · Oct 4: 20% · Oct 5: 22%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Mark Zuckerberg; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Forbes reports that Mark Zuckerberg has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources: Forbes

See it on Kalshi ↗

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