The odds
as of Oct 5, 20:27 UTC- Chance of yes 9.5% −4
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$50K
Yes, 7 days−0.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 10% · Sep 29: 9% · Sep 30: 9.5% · Oct 1: 8.5% · Oct 2: 7.5% · Oct 3: 7.5% · Oct 4: 8% · Oct 5: 9.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Microsoft releases a new Xbox video game console to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Xbox
See it on Kalshi ↗