The odds
as of Oct 10, 22:23 UTC- Luis Antonio Tagle 5.8% —
- Pietro Parolin 4.9% —
- Pierbattista Pizzaballa 3.8% —
- Matteo Zuppi 3.1% —
- Peter Erdo 2.8% —
- Fridolin Ambongo 2.6% —
- Anders Arborelius 2.5% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$143K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Luis Antonio Tagle, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 8: 6.2% · Oct 9: 5.9% · Oct 10: 6%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Luis Antonio Tagle; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Luis Antonio Tagle becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗