The odds
as of Oct 24, 21:20 UTC- Patrick Stewart 71% +33
- Drew Starkey 51% —
- Lady Gaga 51% —
- Pedro Pascal 33% —
- James McAvoy 28% —
- Ian McKellen 27% —
- Jesse Plemons 26% —
- Kelsey Grammer 23% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$869
Traded in all$56K
Favourite, 7 days+18 pts
Patrick Stewart, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 17: 53% · Oct 18: 56% · Oct 19: 54% · Oct 20: 56% · Oct 21: 56% · Oct 22: 59% · Oct 23: 61% · Oct 24: 54%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Patrick Stewart; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Patrick Stewart is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Fox News; MSNBC; The Wall Street Journal; Semafor; ABC; The Information; CBS; The Washington Post; Axios; CNN; Reuters; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Politico; The Hollywood Reporter
See it on Kalshi ↗