Moving
Closest Senate race in 2026? Mississippi 94% ▲+91Michigan Senate election: Mike Rogers vote percent At least 46% 12% ▼−86Closest Governor race in 2026? Kansas 95% ▲+85Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith 8.7% ▼−79Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? Mississippi 88% ▲+76Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Talarico by 5-10 93% ▲+72Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2… Abdul El-Sayed 81% ▲+69Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Tarleton St. Arkansas-Pine Bluff 8.5% ▼−67Georgia State House winner? Democratic party 97% ▲+66Stade Rennais FC vs Olympiacos Piraeus: Correct Sc… Draw 0-0 71% ▲+65Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote… At least 46% 9.5% ▼−64Florida's 4th District margin of victory Bean, 3+ pts 5% ▼−61How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? 8 94% ▲+60Will the filibuster be weakened? Before 2028 85% ▲+60
KalshiCloses December 8, 2026

NL Rookie of the Year Winner

Sal Stewart leads at 96% (about 10 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 4, 17:15 UTC. It's up 11 points in the last 24 hours.

Sal Stewart 96% ▲ 11 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 4, 17:15 UTC
  • Sal Stewart 96% +11
  • Carson Benge 4.5% −11
  • Thomas White 2% —
  • Nolan McLean 1% —
  • JJ Wetherholt 1% —
  • Moises Ballesteros 1% —
  • Bubba Chandler 1% —
  • Justin Crawford 1% —
Traded today$76K
Traded in all$4.7M
Favourite, 7 days+16 pts

Sal Stewart, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 27Nov 496%

Oct 28: 80% · Oct 29: 80% · Oct 30: 90% · Oct 31: 89% · Nov 1: 88% · Nov 2: 90% · Nov 3: 89% · Nov 4: 96%

The same question on Polymarket

Kalshi96%Sal Stewart
2 pt gap
Polymarket94%Sal Stewart →

Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Nov 4, 17:15 UTC.

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Sal Stewart; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Sal Stewart wins the Pro Baseball National League Rookie of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: the Governing League

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

See it on Kalshi ↗

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