Moving
Royal Challengers Kuwait vs AP XI Royal Challengers Kuwait 8% ▼−73FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Draw (FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo) 97% ▲+69Dubai vs Sharjah Sharjah 4% ▼−65Tobon vs Storck Franca Leonardo Storck Franca 74% ▲+56Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina: Correct Score ACF Fiorentina wins 3-2 60% ▲+56Stanford vs Arizona Stanford 23% ▼−53Al-Ittihad vs Al Ain Al Ain 79% ▲+51Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Leganés Real Valladolid CF 97% ▲+50Al-Ittihad Club vs. Al Ain FC Al Ain FC 79% ▲+49Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Fiorentina 82% ▲+41Kalamata vs POT Iraklis Tie 70% ▲+40PAE PS Kalamata vs. POT Iraklis Draw (PAE PS Kalamata vs. POT Iraklis) 69% ▲+40US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina ACF Fiorentina 81% ▲+39GAIS vs. AIK GAIS 92% ▲+38
KalshiCloses November 3, 2027

Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

A ladder on one number: the likeliest rung is Above 3.80M at 97% on Kalshi, as of Nov 2, 19:13 UTC. It's down 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Above 3.80M 97% ▼ 0.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 2, 19:13 UTC
  • Above 3.80M 97% −0.5
  • Above 4.10M 97% —
  • Above 4.40M 92% —
  • Above 4.70M 78% +12
  • Above 5.00M 61% −6
  • Above 5.30M 44% −3
  • Above 5.60M 14% +3
  • Above 5.90M 12% —

A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$3K
Traded in all$32K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts

Above 3.80M, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 26Nov 297%

Oct 26: 95% · Oct 27: 96% · Oct 28: 96% · Oct 29: 96% · Oct 30: 97% · Nov 1: 97% · Nov 2: 97%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 3.80M; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election is above 3800000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources: Michigan Department of State

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