The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- James Talarico and Troy Jackson 44% —
- Ken Paxton and Susan Collins 30% +1
- James Talarico and Susan Collins 20% +3
- Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson 12% −1
- James Talarico and Graham Platner 1% —
- Ken Paxton and Graham Platner 1% —
Traded today$95K
Traded in all$1.3M
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
James Talarico and Troy Jackson, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 46% · Sep 29: 46% · Sep 30: 46% · Oct 1: 49% · Oct 2: 47% · Oct 3: 44% · Oct 4: 44% · Oct 5: 45%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, James Talarico and Troy Jackson; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If ALL of the following occur: Texas Senate: James Talarico wins, Maine Senate: Troy Jackson wins, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Texas Senate (USELECTION), Maine Senate (USELECTION). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2026 midterms.
Settlement sources: Texas Secretary of State; Maine Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗