Moving
Closest Senate race in 2026? Mississippi 92% ▲+88Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith 7.3% ▼−80Wyoming margin of victory Gray, 22+ pts 4.9% ▼−79Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? Mississippi 85% ▲+77Closest Governor race in 2026? Kansas 84% ▲+74Georgia State House winner? Democratic party 97% ▲+67Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2… James Talarico 12% ▼−65How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? 8 96% ▲+61Colorado's 4th District margin of victory Boebert, 1+ pts 3.9% ▼−60Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democr… Democratic sweep 91% ▲+58North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory Murphy, 1+ pts 3% ▼−57Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? Nithya Raman, 6-8% 59% ▲+53Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin? Sand by 6-9 90% ▲+53Kortrijk vs Mechelen Mechelen 90% ▲+51
KalshiCloses March 29, 2027

Men's Round of 76 Qualifiers

Alabama leads at 99% (all but certain, by the price) on Kalshi, as of Nov 4, 21:14 UTC. It's up 12 points in the last 24 hours.

Alabama 99% ▲ 12 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
  • Alabama 99% +12
  • South Florida 97% —
  • Arkansas 95% —
  • Seton Hall 95% +48
  • Duke 95% —
  • Florida 95% —
  • Michigan 92% —
  • Illinois 91% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$251K
Traded in all$261K
Favourite, 7 days+14 pts

Alabama, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 27Nov 489%

Oct 28: 85% · Oct 29: 85% · Oct 30: 85% · Oct 31: 84% · Nov 1: 84% · Nov 2: 86% · Nov 3: 87% · Nov 4: 89%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Alabama; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Alabama qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Round of 76, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves to Yes if the team qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Round of 76. This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA; ESPN

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

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