The odds
as of Oct 6, 01:39 UTC- Both lose 52% —
- Rogers loses, Collins wins 25% +5
- Both win 18% −6
- Rogers wins, Collins loses 6% −1
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$74K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
Both lose, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 53% · Sep 29: 53% · Sep 30: 53% · Oct 1: 53% · Oct 2: 52% · Oct 3: 52% · Oct 5: 52% · Oct 6: 52%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Both lose; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a candidate other than Mike Rogers in Michigan's U.S. Senate election and a candidate other than Susan Collins in Maine's U.S. Senate election win their respective November 3, 2026 elections, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. The full rules provide further details.
Settlement sources: Michigan Secretary of State; Maine Secretary of State, Division of Elections
See it on Kalshi ↗