The odds
as of Oct 6, 03:30 UTC- Above 3.44 million 94% —
- Above 3.46 million 89% —
- Above 3.48 million 85% —
- Above 3.5 million 65% +2
- Above 3.52 million 47% —
- Above 3.54 million 37% —
- Above 3.56 million 27% —
- Above 3.58 million 16% −6
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$50K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 3.44 million, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 94% · Sep 30: 94% · Oct 1: 94% · Oct 2: 94% · Oct 3: 94% · Oct 4: 94% · Oct 5: 94% · Oct 6: 94%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 3.44 million; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Lemonade Inc. reports Above 3440000 total customers in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
See it on Kalshi ↗