The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Rafael López Aliaga 91% −3
- Carlos Bruce 35% +29
- Susel Paredes 3% −1
- Daniel Urresti 2% —
- Francis Allison 1% −6
- Ricardo Belmont 1% —
- Samuel Daza 1% —
- Luis Rubio 1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$59K
Favourite, 7 days+7 pts
Rafael López Aliaga, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 88% · Sep 29: 89% · Sep 30: 88% · Oct 1: 88% · Oct 2: 87% · Oct 3: 84% · Oct 4: 95% · Oct 5: 50%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Rafael López Aliaga; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Rafael López Aliaga wins the 2026 Lima mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: National Jury of Elections
See it on Kalshi ↗