The odds
as of Oct 12, 08:47 UTC- Above $11,250/acre 92% +1
- Above $11,500/acre 76% +8
- Above $11,750/acre 54% −9
- Above $12,000/acre 36% −14
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$9K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above $11,250/acre, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 5: 92% · Oct 6: 92% · Oct 7: 92% · Oct 8: 92% · Oct 9: 92% · Oct 10: 92% · Oct 11: 92% · Oct 12: 92%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above $11,250/acre; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026, as reported in the 2026 Iowa State University Land Value Survey, is above $11,250/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide average value for land of all qualities reported in the 2026 Iowa State University Land Value Survey, expressed in dollars per acre. The survey’s statewide value reflects farmland values as of approximately November 1.
Settlement sources: Iowa State University - Land Value Survey
See it on Kalshi ↗