Moving
US imposes new sanctions on China by...? October 31, 2026 88% ▲+80Qingdao Eagles vs Guangdong Southern Tigers Guangdong Southern Tigers 46% ▼−40Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republ… Nebraska, South Carolina 29% ▲+38Jacksonville vs Baltimore Jacksonville 80% ▲+37MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner Caleb Durbin 32% ▲+31Iancu vs Kardos Alexia-Shara Iancu 80% ▲+30Lew Yan Foon vs Jovanovic Astrid Lew Yan Foon 79% ▲+28Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by...? 0-3 points behind 30% ▼−27Jonathan Taylor Next Team Denver 32% ▲+24Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Rank Debut? Top 20 42% ▲+23Houkes vs Vrbensky Michael Vrbensky 54% ▲+23Team Falcons vs. Natus Vincere Natus Vincere 67% ▲+20Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a gove… Benjamin Netanyahu 14% ▼−19Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? Jacob Rodriguez 22% ▲+19
KalshiCloses November 3, 2027

MN-05 House winner?

Ilhan Omar leads at 97% (about 10 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 2, 12:23 UTC.

Ilhan Omar 97%

The odds

as of Nov 2, 12:23 UTC
  • Ilhan Omar 97% —
  • John Nagel 2.5% −0.5
  • DeVelle Jackson 1% —
Traded today$172K
Traded in all$2.0M
Favourite, 7 days+2.5 pts

Ilhan Omar, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 25Nov 297%

Oct 26: 94% · Oct 27: 96% · Oct 28: 96% · Oct 29: 97% · Oct 30: 97% · Oct 31: 97% · Nov 1: 97% · Nov 2: 97%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Ilhan Omar; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the House member sworn in for MN-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources: Library of Congress

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →