The odds
as of Oct 12, 16:28 UTC- Tame Impala 4.5% —
- Coldplay 4.5% —
- Radiohead 4.5% —
- Pearl Jam 4.5% —
- Billie Eilish 4.5% —
- Olivia Rodrigo 4.5% —
- Vampire Weekend 4.5% —
- Lana Del Rey 4.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$207K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Tame Impala, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 5: 4.5% · Oct 6: 4.5% · Oct 7: 4.5% · Oct 8: 4.5% · Oct 9: 4.5% · Oct 10: 4.5% · Oct 11: 4.5% · Oct 12: 4.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Tame Impala; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Tame Impala is the a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.
Settlement sources: official account of ; ABC; in hierarchical order; Fox News; Vogue; Rolling Stone; The Source Agencies are; MSNBC; BBC; Reuters; Bonnaroo; CNN; Billboard; NBC; the Associated Press; CBS; Variety; The New York Times; Bloomberg News
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