The odds
as of Nov 12, 01:18 UTC- The Fate of Ophelia 74% −14
- the cure 72% —
- Risk It All 58% +8
- hate that i made you love me 43% −2
- Aperture 33% +13
- FEVER DREAM 15% —
- Sauvignon Blanc 9.5% +1
- Hit The Wall 9.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$24K
Traded in all$37K
Favourite, 7 days+17 pts
The Fate of Ophelia, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 4: 57% · Nov 6: 57% · Nov 7: 60% · Nov 8: 59% · Nov 9: 71% · Nov 10: 67% · Nov 11: 81% · Nov 12: 81%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, The Fate of Ophelia; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If The Fate of Ophelia has been nominated for Best Pop Solo Performance at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Recording Academy
See it on Kalshi ↗