The odds
as of Oct 17, 13:20 UTC- Above 45 80% +1
- Above 50 74% —
- Above 55 70% −1
- Above 60 56% −1
- Above 65 50% —
- Above 70 42% +1
- Above 75 30% +1
- Above 80 21% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 45, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 10: 80% · Oct 11: 80% · Oct 12: 80% · Oct 13: 80% · Oct 14: 80% · Oct 15: 80% · Oct 16: 80% · Oct 17: 80%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 45; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If How to Rob a Bank has a Tomatometer score of above 45 on Nov 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The "Fresh!" and "Certified Fresh!" subtitles are meant for illustrative purposes only. The Tomatometer score must be above the strike value to resolve as YES (for example, a score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No.) The market will be determined the Monday after wide release at 10:00 AM ET. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes. Any references to Rotten Tomatoes or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rotten Tomatoes and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Rotten Tomatoes
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