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Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Talarico by 5-10 5% ▼−85Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Nottingham Forest 94% ▲+73Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC Nottingham Forest FC 93% ▲+72Leganes vs Albacete Albacete 96% ▲+69Kansas City vs Angel City FC Tie 90% ▲+69CD Leganés vs. Albacete Balompié Albacete Balompié 95% ▲+69Morehead St. vs Marist Morehead St. 76% ▲+61University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Novemb… 49.0 to 51.9 75% ▲+52CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CS Independie… CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 81% ▲+52Mendoza vs Rivadavia Mendoza 80% ▲+51Robert Morris vs Duquesne Duquesne 30% ▼−50Riga FC vs. FC RFS Draw (Riga FC vs. FC RFS) 96% ▲+48Artnak vs Bigun Bor Artnak 96% ▲+46Osasuna vs Bilbao Tie 70% ▲+43
KalshiCloses November 3, 2027

Florida Governor: margin of victory

Byron Donalds, 0-2% leads at 95% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC. It's down 6 points in the last 24 hours.

Byron Donalds, 0-2% 95% ▼ 6 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC
  • Byron Donalds, 0-2% 95% −6
  • Byron Donalds, 2-4% 1% —
  • Byron Donalds, 4-6% 1% —
  • Byron Donalds, 6-8% 1% —
  • Byron Donalds, 8-10% 1% —
  • Byron Donalds, 10-12% 1% —
  • Byron Donalds, 12-14% 1% —
  • Byron Donalds, 14-16% 1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$133K
Favourite, 7 days+79 pts

Byron Donalds, 0-2%, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 30Nov 795%

Oct 31: 16% · Nov 1: 16% · Nov 2: 18% · Nov 3: 27% · Nov 4: 94% · Nov 5: 96% · Nov 6: 97% · Nov 7: 95%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Byron Donalds, 0-2%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Settlement sources: Florida Division of Elections

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