The odds
as of Oct 31, 07:15 UTC- Spanish 79% +10
- Japanese 4.5% −4
- English 3.5% —
- French 3.5% +1
- Italian 3.5% −6
- German 2.5% −5
- Portuguese 2.5% —
- Korean 1.5% −3
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$33K
Favourite, 7 days+30 pts
Spanish, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 27: 34% · Oct 28: 69% · Oct 29: 75% · Oct 30: 85% · Oct 31: 83%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Spanish; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Spanish achieves #2 on Duolingo's worldwide ranking of the most popular languages studied in its annual Duolingo Language Report for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Duolingo. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Duolingo
See it on Kalshi ↗