The odds
as of Nov 2, 21:15 UTC- Above $5.30 96% −3.5
- Above $5.40 95% —
- Above $5.50 95% —
- Above $5.60 95% −6
- Above $5.70 93% −3
- Above $5.80 84% −2
- Above $5.90 73% −21
- Above $6.00 59% −24
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$33K
Traded in all$40K
Favourite, 7 days−2.5 pts
Above $5.30, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 31: >99% · Nov 1: >99% · Nov 2: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above $5.30; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Diesel Price on November 30, 2026 is above $5.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: AAA
See it on Kalshi ↗