The odds
as of Nov 1, 23:14 UTC- Chance of yes 21% −15
Traded today$723
Traded in all$56K
Yes, 7 days−12 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 25: 32% · Oct 26: 32% · Oct 27: 32% · Oct 28: 33% · Oct 29: 34% · Oct 30: 33% · Oct 31: 33% · Nov 1: 21%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf, before Jan 1, 2027, any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X newly accept cryptocurrency or crypto tokens (including stablecoins) as payment for any core service or product, then the market resolves to Yes. Please see full rules for the list of services/products that can count towards the Payout Criterion.
Settlement sources: Meta; Amazon; Tesla; Bloomberg News; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗