The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Elmano de Freitas 97% +27
- Ciro Gomes 4.5% −30
- Eduardo Girão 1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$40K
Favourite, 7 days+35 pts
Elmano de Freitas, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 63% · Sep 29: 68% · Sep 30: 67% · Oct 1: 71% · Oct 2: 69% · Oct 3: 65% · Oct 4: 94% · Oct 5: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Elmano de Freitas; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Elmano de Freitas wins the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: TRE-CE
See it on Kalshi ↗