The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chance of yes 35% −1
Traded today$25K
Traded in all$1.2M
Yes, 7 days+4 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 27% · Sep 29: 28% · Sep 30: 34% · Oct 1: 34% · Oct 2: 34% · Oct 3: 35% · Oct 4: 35% · Oct 5: 35%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: California Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗