The odds
as of Oct 8, 17:24 UTC- Chance of yes 9.9% −27
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$28K
Yes, 7 days−21 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 1: 32% · Oct 2: 35% · Oct 3: 29% · Oct 4: 30% · Oct 5: 30% · Oct 6: 34% · Oct 7: 33% · Oct 8: 35%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the 2026 California Voter ID initiative passes, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: The Wall Street Journal; CBS News; California Secretary of State; the Associated Press; Reuters; The New York Times; The Washington Post; Axios; BBC News; Politico; NBC News; ABC News; Bloomberg News
See it on Kalshi ↗