The odds
as of Nov 2, 20:16 UTC- Chance of yes 41% +1.5
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$31K
Yes, 7 days−1.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 26: 45% · Oct 27: 40% · Oct 28: 42% · Oct 29: 40% · Oct 30: 40% · Oct 31: 40% · Nov 1: 40% · Nov 2: 39%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Democrats win IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the Senate seat, and the Governorship in Iowa, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Iowa Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗