The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Amanda Janoo 45% +13
- Nithya Raman 35% +1
- Charles Booker 28% —
- James Talarico 19% +5
- Dan Osborn 17% —
- Juliana Stratton 9.5% −2.5
- Josh Turek 9% —
- Gina Hinojosa 9% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$103K
Favourite, 7 days+24 pts
Amanda Janoo, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 30: 21% · Oct 1: 21% · Oct 2: 21% · Oct 3: 21% · Oct 4: 45%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Amanda Janoo; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Amanda Janoo in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.
Settlement sources: Bernie Sanders; official campaign announcements from the candidate; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Bloomberg News; Reuters; Axios; Politico; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; NBC; ABC; CBS; The Washington Post; Politico EU; The Wall Street Journal
See it on Kalshi ↗