The odds
as of Oct 26, 17:24 UTC- Harry Kane >99% +1
- Lamine Yamal >99% +1
- Kylian Mbappé >99% —
- Rodri 98% −2
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 96% +4
- Lionel Messi 96% −4
- Michael Olise 95% +2
- Ousmane Dembélé 94% −4
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$131K
Traded in all$212K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts
Harry Kane, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 19: 97% · Oct 20: 99% · Oct 21: 99% · Oct 22: 99% · Oct 23: >99% · Oct 24: 88% · Oct 25: 99% · Oct 26: >99%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Harry Kane; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Harry Kane is ranked top 10 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Ballon d'Or
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
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