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Closest Senate race in 2026? Mississippi 92% ▲+88Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith 7.3% ▼−80Wyoming margin of victory Gray, 22+ pts 4.9% ▼−79Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? Mississippi 85% ▲+77Closest Governor race in 2026? Kansas 84% ▲+74Georgia State House winner? Democratic party 97% ▲+67Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2… James Talarico 12% ▼−65How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? 8 96% ▲+61Colorado's 4th District margin of victory Boebert, 1+ pts 3.9% ▼−60Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democr… Democratic sweep 91% ▲+58North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory Murphy, 1+ pts 3% ▼−57Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? Nithya Raman, 6-8% 59% ▲+53Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin? Sand by 6-9 90% ▲+53Kortrijk vs Mechelen Mechelen 90% ▲+51
KalshiCloses November 18, 2026

Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac: Set 2 Winner

Arthur Fils leads at 63% (about 6 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 4, 21:14 UTC. It's up 2 points in the last 24 hours.

Arthur Fils 63% ▲ 2 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
  • Arthur Fils 63% +2
  • Tomas Machac 38% —
Traded today$94K
Traded in all$98K
Favourite, 7 days+15 pts

Arthur Fils, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 3Nov 471%

Nov 3: 61% · Nov 4: 71%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Arthur Fils; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Arthur Fils wins set 2 in the Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 32. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ATP

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