The odds
as of Nov 2, 19:13 UTC- Above 39.0 47% +13
- 38.5 to 38.7 22% —
- 38.8 to 39.0 18% −2
- 38.2 to 38.4 9.5% −7
- 37.9 to 38.1 5.5% −4
- Below 37.3 3.5% —
- 37.3 to 37.5 1.5% —
- 37.6 to 37.8 1.5% −2
Traded today$14K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+30 pts
Above 39.0, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 30: 26% · Oct 31: 31% · Nov 1: 33% · Nov 2: 47%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 39.0; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the President's approval rating is above 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on November 06, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on November 06, 2026.
Settlement sources: RealClearPolitics
See it on Kalshi ↗