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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

The market puts it at 8% — a long shot, about one in 13 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 13, 05:30 UTC. It's up 1.3 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 8% ▲ 1.3 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 13, 05:30 UTC
  • Chance of yes 8% +1.3
Traded today$519
Traded in all$165K
Yes, 7 daysunch

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 5Oct 138%

Oct 6: 7.3% · Oct 7: 7.9% · Oct 8: 7.5% · Oct 9: 7.7% · Oct 10: 6.8% · Oct 11: 6.7% · Oct 12: 7.1% · Oct 13: 8.1%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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