The odds
as of Oct 13, 02:44 UTC- Chance of yes 2.7% +1.5
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$256K
Yes, 7 days+1.6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 6: 1.1% · Oct 7: 1.1% · Oct 8: 1.4% · Oct 9: 1.4% · Oct 10: 1.3% · Oct 11: 1.3% · Oct 12: 1.6% · Oct 13: 2.7%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗