The odds
as of Oct 20, 10:22 UTC- June 30, 2027 48% +35
- March 31, 2027 46% +36
- December 31, 2026 4% −1
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$539K
Favourite, 7 days−2.5 pts
June 30, 2027, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 16: 50% · Oct 17: 13% · Oct 18: 13% · Oct 19: 14% · Oct 20: 48%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗