The odds
as of Oct 11, 08:32 UTC- Chance of yes 31% +14
Traded today$510
Traded in all$100K
Yes, 7 days+8 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 4: 22% · Oct 5: 22% · Oct 6: 22% · Oct 7: 21% · Oct 8: 18% · Oct 9: 15% · Oct 10: 25% · Oct 11: 31%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗