The odds
as of Oct 8, 01:44 UTC- Elon Musk 94% +57
- Sam Altman 47% +25
- Dario Amodei 35% +11
- Javier Milei 16% +1.5
- Mohammed bin Salman 13% —
- Mark Carney 11% —
- Benjamin Netanyahu 8.5% −1
- Giorgia Meloni 7% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$42K
Favourite, 7 days+52 pts
Elon Musk, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 1: 20% · Oct 2: 30% · Oct 3: 20% · Oct 4: 20% · Oct 5: 24% · Oct 6: 33% · Oct 7: 94% · Oct 8: 94%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗