The odds
as of Oct 16, 19:20 UTC- Colombia 40% +19
- Brazil 22% −2.6
- Japan 21% +1
- Thailand 20% —
- South Korea 17% +13
- Russia 14% —
- Philippines 14% −0.5
- China 11% −5.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$36K
Favourite, 7 days+19 pts
Colombia, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 9: 21% · Oct 10: 21% · Oct 11: 21% · Oct 12: 21% · Oct 13: 21% · Oct 14: 21% · Oct 15: 21% · Oct 16: 40%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordIf Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, visits a listed country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Clavicular physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Clavicular enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For the purposes of this market, "China" includes all territory administered by the People's Republic of China, including Special Administrative Regions, excluding Taiwan.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗