The odds
as of Oct 21, 17:21 UTC- Brian Armstrong - Coinbase 8.2% +1
- Sam Altman - OpenAI 4.8% +0.5
- Andy Jassy - Amazon 4.7% —
- Sundar Pichai - Google 4.4% —
- Dan Clancy - Twitch 3.4% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$759
Traded in all$719K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 14: 8.1% · Oct 15: 8.1% · Oct 16: 8% · Oct 17: 8% · Oct 18: 7% · Oct 19: 7% · Oct 20: 7.1% · Oct 21: 8.2%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗