The odds
as of Oct 17, 09:22 UTC- $407K - $411K 46% +0.5
- $403K - $407K 22% +2
- <$403K 14% +0.5
- $411K - $415K 9.3% +0.7
- $415K - $419K 8.4% +4.4
- $419K - $423K 4.7% +1
- $423K+ 1.6% +1
Traded today$764
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+28 pts
$407K - $411K, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 10: 22% · Oct 11: 20% · Oct 12: 20% · Oct 13: 30% · Oct 14: 31% · Oct 15: 52% · Oct 16: 46% · Oct 17: 46%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)
See it on Polymarket ↗