The odds
as of Oct 20, 10:22 UTC- Chance of yes 6.5% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$538K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 13: 6.5% · Oct 14: 6.5% · Oct 15: 6% · Oct 16: 6% · Oct 17: 6% · Oct 18: 6% · Oct 19: 6.5% · Oct 20: 6.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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