The odds
as of Oct 22, 04:27 UTC- Petr Yan 59% −1
- Merab Dvalishvili 42% +1
Traded today$27K
Traded in all$149K
Favourite, 7 days−3.5 pts
Petr Yan, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 15: 61% · Oct 16: 61% · Oct 17: 61% · Oct 18: 61% · Oct 19: 61% · Oct 20: 59% · Oct 21: 59% · Oct 22: 59%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 22, 04:27 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.
It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Polymarket ↗