The odds
as of Nov 8, 01:16 UTC- Fight to Go the Distance? >99% +41
- Fight won by decision? 90% +34
- Decision or Draw 90% +34
- Ends before Round 2? 10% −7
- Ends before Round 3? 10% −24
- Silva in Round 1 10% −19
- Silva in Round 2 10% −18
- Silva in Round 3 10% −17
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$186K
Traded in all$190K
Favourite, 7 days+50 pts
Fight to Go the Distance?, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 1: 50% · Nov 2: 49% · Nov 3: 51% · Nov 4: 51% · Nov 5: 58% · Nov 6: 59% · Nov 7: 59% · Nov 8: >99%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Karine Silva" if Karine Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gabriella Fernandes at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026.
It will resolve to "Gabriella Fernandes" if Gabriella Fernandes is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
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