The odds
as of Oct 9, 21:23 UTC- Francisco Prado 54% +1
- Ismael Bonfim 47% −1
Traded today$23K
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 days+6.5 pts
Francisco Prado, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 2: 47% · Oct 3: 44% · Oct 4: 48% · Oct 5: 50% · Oct 6: 50% · Oct 7: 50% · Oct 8: 53% · Oct 9: 54%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026.
It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Polymarket ↗