The odds
as of Oct 24, 19:17 UTC- Fight to Go the Distance? >99% +29
- O/U 0.5 Rounds >99% +7.4
- O/U 1.5 Rounds >99% +17
- O/U 2.5 Rounds >99% +26
- Fight won by decision? >99% +30
- Ends before Round 2? 48% +36
- Malkoun to win by KO/TKO? 47% +34
- Malkoun in Round 1 47% +40
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$464K
Traded in all$519K
Favourite, 7 days+50 pts
Fight to Go the Distance?, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 17: 50% · Oct 18: 54% · Oct 19: 70% · Oct 20: 69% · Oct 21: 71% · Oct 22: 72% · Oct 23: 71% · Oct 24: 100%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Abubakar Vagaev" if Abubakar Vagaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.
It will resolve to "Jacob Malkoun" if Jacob Malkoun is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
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