The odds
as of Oct 5, 13:33 UTC- Erling Braut Haaland 86% −1
- Alysa Liu 81% +5
- Lamine Yamal 28% —
- Ilia Malinin 28% −0.8
- Folarin Balogun 21% +5
- Conor McGregor 21% —
- Kylian Mbappé 20% —
- Anthony Joshua 19% −0.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$513
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
Erling Braut Haaland, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 87% · Sep 29: 87% · Sep 30: 86% · Oct 1: 88% · Oct 2: 86% · Oct 3: 91% · Oct 4: 87% · Oct 5: 86%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed athlete is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search Global "Athletes" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Athletes. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
See it on Polymarket ↗