The odds
as of Oct 25, 15:20 UTC- Kamala Harris 27% —
- Raphael Warnock 22% −0.5
- Jon Ossoff 18% —
- Cory Booker 17% +2
- Gavin Newsom 9.3% +1
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.7% +1.3
- J.B. Pritzker 3.6% −0.8
- Michelle Obama 3.5% −0.6
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days−0.5 pts
Kamala Harris, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 18: 28% · Oct 19: 28% · Oct 20: 28% · Oct 21: 28% · Oct 22: 28% · Oct 23: 28% · Oct 24: 28% · Oct 25: 27%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordSouth Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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