The odds
as of Oct 20, 10:22 UTC- Anne Hathaway 88% −1.5
- Samantha Morton 84% +5.5
- Penélope Cruz 75% −1.5
- Tao Okamoto 61% —
- Amanda Seyfried 54% +5
- Sandra Hüller 34% −3
- Olivia Colman 25% −8
- Mariana di Girolamo 24% −2
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$20K
Traded in all$33K
Favourite, 7 days+39 pts
Anne Hathaway, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 14: 93% · Oct 15: 90% · Oct 16: 90% · Oct 17: 90% · Oct 18: 90% · Oct 19: 90% · Oct 20: 88%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 20, 10:22 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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